Data for Modeling the potential distribution of Wesselsbron, Sindbis, and Middelburg viruses and their vectors in Africa under future climatic and land-use changesdoi:10.60507/FK2/LA6LJWbonndata2025-06-132Nabatanzi, Maureen, 2025, "Data for Modeling the potential distribution of Wesselsbron, Sindbis, and Middelburg viruses and their vectors in Africa under future climatic and land-use changes", https://doi.org/10.60507/FK2/LA6LJW, bonndata, V2Data for Modeling the potential distribution of Wesselsbron, Sindbis, and Middelburg viruses and their vectors in Africa under future climatic and land-use changesdoi:10.60507/FK2/LA6LJWNabatanzi, MaureenSelina GraffRProject number 458328858bonndataNabatanzi, MaureenNabatanzi, Maureen2025-04-09Agricultural SciencesEarth and Environmental SciencesMedicine, Health and Life SciencesThis dataset comprises ecological variables and species presence points used to model the current and future potential distribution of Wesselsbron, Sindbis, and Middelburg viruses and five mosquito vectors (Aedes circumluteolus, Aedes mcintoshi, Culex univittatus, Culex pipiens and Mansonia Africana). Ecological data include 19 Bioclimatic variables, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Built-Up areas, Settlement model grid, Human population, Forested areas, Livestock density, and Croplands. Two time periods were selected, current (reference year 2015) and future (2021 – 2040); current bioclimatic comprised data collected over 1970 – 2000. For the future, we utilized the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), which are projections of future greenhouse gas emissions and climate. We chose SSP2-4.5 for moderate and SSP5-8.5 for severe conditions. Based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, we selected two Global Climate Models (GCM), IPSL - CM6A - LR and HadGEM - GC31 – LL. Therefore, per GCM, we extracted ecological data for the two SSPs for the period 2021 – 2040. Presence points comprise coordinates of locations of samples from which the species were previously identified.1954-01-012024-09-191954-01-012024-09-19CoordinatesRaster imagesGlobal land use for 2015–2100 at 0.05° resolution under diverse socioeconomic and climate scenarios. doi:10.1038/s41597-020-00669-xCoupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), Future climate, 30 seconds spatial resolution. https://www.worldclim.org/data/cmip6/cmip6_clim30s.htmlMODIS/Terra Vegetation Indices Monthly L3 Global 1km SIN Grid V061. Fick, S. E., & Hijmans, R. J. (2017).WorldClim 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. 37(12), 4302-4315. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5086MODIS/Terra+Aqua Land Cover Type Yearly L3 Global 500m SIN Grid V061. https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MCD12Q1.061Global Human Settlement Layer: Population and Built-Up Estimates, and Degree of Urbanization Settlement Model Grid. https://doi.org/10.7927/h4154f0wGLW 4: Gridded Livestock Density (Global - 2015 - 10 km) [mapDigital]. https://data.apps.fao.org/catalog/iso/15f8c56c-5499-45d5-bd89-59ef6c026704GLW 4: Gridded Livestock Density (Global - 2020 - 10 km) [mapDigital]. https://data.apps.fao.org/catalog/iso/9d1e149b-d63f-4213-978b-317a8eb42d02Global maps of cropland extent and change show accelerated cropland expansion in the twenty-first century. doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00429-zWang, X., Meng, X., & Long, Y. (2022). Projecting 1 km-grid population distributions from 2020 to 2100 globally under shared socioeconomic pathways. In: figshare.National Center for Biotechnology Information, NCBI Virus [Internet]. National Library of Medicine. 2024. Available from: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/virus/vssi/#/virus?SeqType_s=Nucleotide.Free to access and download<a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0">CC BY 4.0</a>AeCirc_17May24.csvPresence points for Aedes circumluteolustext/csvAeMc_17May24.csvPresence points for Aedes mcintoshitext/csvBio1.ascAnnual mean temperature (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txt text/x-fixed-fieldBio10.ascMean Temperature of Warmest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txt text/x-fixed-fieldBio10_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txt text/x-fixed-fieldBio10_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio10_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio10_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio11.ascMean Temperature of Coldest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio11_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio11_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio11_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio11_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio12.ascAnnual Precipitation (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio12_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio12_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio12_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio12_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio13.ascPrecipitation of Wettest Month (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio13_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio13_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio13_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio13_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio14.ascPrecipitation of Driest Month (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio14_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio14_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio14_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio14_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio15.ascPrecipitation Seasonality (Coefficient of Variation) (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio15_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio15_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio15_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio15_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio16.ascPrecipitation of Wettest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio16_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio16_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio16_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio16_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio17.ascPrecipitation of Driest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio17_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio17_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio17_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio17_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio18.ascPrecipitation of Warmest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio18_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio18_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio18_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio18_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio19.ascPrecipitation of Coldest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio19_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio19_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio19_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio19_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio1_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio1_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio1_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio1_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio2.ascMean Diurnal Range (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio2_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio2_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio2_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio2_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio3.ascIsothermality (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio3_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio3_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio3_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio3_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio4.ascTemperature Seasonality (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio4_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio4_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio4_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio4_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio5.ascMaximum Temperature of Warmest Month (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio5_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio5_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio5_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio5_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio6.ascMinimum Temperature of Coldest Month (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio6_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio6_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio6_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio6_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio7.ascTemperature Annual Range (Bio5-Bio6) (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio7_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio7_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio7_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio7_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio8.ascMean Temperature of Wettest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio8_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio8_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio8_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio8_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio9.ascMean Temperature of Driest Quarter (1970 - 2000) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio9_245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio9_585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio9_585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBio9_SSP245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldBuilt.ascBuilt-up areas (2014). Proportion of the building footprint area within the total size of the grid cell. Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldCropland.ascCropland (2012-2015). Pixel value: 0-100, percent of croplands per pixel. Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldCropland_ssp245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldCropland_ssp245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldCropland_ssp585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldCropland_ssp585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldculexP_19Sept24.csvPresence points for Culex pipienstext/csvculexU_2Aug24.csvPresence points for Culex univittatustext/csvData_sources_references.docxReferences for data sourcesapplication/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.documentForest.ascForested areas (2015) Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldForest_ssp245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldForest_ssp245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldForest_ssp585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldForest_ssp585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldHpop.ascHuman population distribution indicated by number of people per grid cell. Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldHpop_SSP2_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldHpop_SSP5_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldLivestock.ascLivestock density (2015). The following species: cattle, sheep, goats, horses, pigs and chicken. Absolute number of animals per pixel. Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldLivestock_2020.ascLivestock density (2020) Animals or birds/pixel Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldmanAfr_6Aug24.csvPresence points for Mansonia africanatext/csvMidv_5Aug24.csvPresence points for Middelburg virustext/csvNDVI.ascNormalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) (2015). NDVI values range from -0.2 to 1. Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldReadme.txttext/plainSinv_31July24.csvPresence points for Sindbis virustext/csvSmod.ascSettlement Model Grid or Degree of Urbanization (2015). Grid cells are assigned with 2-digit codes in the following classes: 30 = "Urban Centre" density of at least 1,500 inhabitants per square km; 23 = "Dense Urban Cluster" density of at least 1,500 inhabitants per square km; 22 = "Semi-dense Urban Cluster" density of at least 300 inhabitants per square km; 21 = "Suburban or peri-urban grid cells" all other cells of the Urban domain; 13 = "Rural cluster" density of at least 300 inhabitants per square km; 12 = "Low Density Rural grid cells" density of at least 50 inhabitants per square km; 11 = "Very low density rural grid cells" density of less than 50 inhabitants per square km; 10 = "Water grid cells" more than 0.5 share covered by permanent surface water. Raw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldUrban_ssp245_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldUrban_ssp245_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldUrban_ssp585_hadgem_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldUrban_ssp585_ipsl_2040.ascRaw data is referenced in ReadMe.txttext/x-fixed-fieldWslv_5June24.csvPresence points for Wesselsbron virustext/csv