Estimated Maize Yield Losses by Stem Borers in Kenya and Tanzania under Current Climatic Conditions (1970-2000) and Different Climate Change Scenarios (2041-2060, 2081-2100)
type: Dataset
creator: Ines Jendritzki
  type: Person
  given name: Ines
  family name: Jendritzki
  affiliation: Center for Development Research, Department Ecology and Natural Resources Management (ZEF C), University of Bonn
date published: 2023-09-18
date modified: 2023-09-18
version: 1
description: The research within the scope of which the presented data was generated was part of the funding initiative ‘Knowledge for Tomorrow-Cooperative Research Project in sub-Saharan Africa on Resource, their Dynamics, and Sustainability’ funded by the Volkswagen Foundation. The overall study aimed at investigating the uncertainties in the effectiveness of biological control of stem borers under different climate change scenarios in Kenya and Tanzania. Using the species distribution modelling approach MaxEnt, the research predicts the current and future distribution of three important lepidopteran stem borer pests of maize in eastern Africa, i.e., Busseola fusca (Fuller, 1901), Chilo partellus (Swinhoe, 1885) and Sesamia calamistis (Hampson, 1910), and two of their parasitoids used for biological control, i.e., Cotesia flavipes (Cameron, 1891) and Cotesia sesamiae (Cameron, 1906). Based on these potential distributions and data collected during household surveys with local farmers in Kenya and Tanzania, future maize yield losses are predicted considering three different Global Circulation Models (GCMs) for four different Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP 3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) and two time periods, i.e., 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. Stem borer-associated maize yield losses (in kg/ha) are extrapolated using data on average maize yield in the study area downloaded from MapSPAM and based on results from a 2018 household survey conducted by researchers from the International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (icipe) under the cooperative project "Adaptation for Food Security and Ecosystem Resilience in Africa” (AFERIA) of icipe, the University of Helsinki and the University of York in which local farmers were asked to quantify losses in maize yield by stem borer infestation. Based on these survey data, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for maize yield losses were calculated. Yield losses by stem borers for all scenarios are given for mean, lower and…
keywords: Other
keywords: pest infestation
keywords: agricultural pest
keywords: agricultural ecology
keywords: climatic change
keywords: yield (agricultural)
temporal coverage: 1970-01-01/2000-12-31
license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
spatial coverage: Kenya
spatial coverage: Tanzania
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Ines Jendritzki
type: Person
given name: Ines
family name: Jendritzki
affiliation: Center for Development Research, Department Ecology and Natural Resources Management (ZEF C), University of Bonn

bonndata
type: DataCatalog

bonndata
type: Organization

bonndata
type: Organization